I'm going nuts trying to find the original cite for something I know is out there, but I can't find the right words to get Google to tell me the answer. There's something I've been calling the "double bump adoption curve", which is where first there's a lot of hype, interest and excitement in a technology. Then the backlash starts and it all falls apart. Finally the second wave hits when the spec/standard/software/whatever is actually useful. I didn't come up with this idea, but I do seem to be the only person who uses the phrase "double bump adoption curve" to describe it. I need a cite to the original paper/page that mentioned this, or at least to something that describes it well. I have a vague recollection that this used to be part of James Gosling's personal home page at java.sun.com, but that page now redirects to his blog, which doesn't seem to have the old content. Does anyone know what I'm talking about? Can anyone point me to the right phrase and source? I have an end of the day deadline, so I'd really appreciate this. Please e-mail me if you know the answer. Update: Rogers Cadenhead found it in the Wayback Machine. My memory did not fail me. It was a James Gosling piece from his no longer existent personal site on java.sun.com. James, Cool URIs Don't Change! It appears that although Gosling wrote about this, Toshi Doi was the first to come up with the idea. Several people have also pointed out that this is silimar to what Geoffrey Moore calls Crossing the Chasm. David Clark calls this the "apocalypse of the two elephants". The Gartner Group calls this the "hype cycle".
Achim Westermann has released JChart2D 1.03, a thread-safe, libré (LGPL) Swing widget for drawing x-y plots.